The Publication
This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.
JANUARY 2007 KEY POINTS
Trend
The January 2007 trend estimate for new motor vehicle sales (83 866) increased 0.9% compared with the December 2006 estimate. This was the eighth consecutive positive trend estimate. Since January 2006, the trend estimate has increased 3.8%.
All of the vehicle types recorded increases for at least five consecutive months of trend estimates. The largest increase from December 2006 to January 2007 was recorded by sports utility vehicles at 1.2%. Passenger vehicles increased 1.0% and other vehicle types increased 0.5%.
Compared with January 2006, increases have been recorded in sports utility vehicles (6.5%) and passenger vehicles (5.2%). However, the trend estimate for other vehicles has decreased by 2.5%.
All states and territories except Tasmania recorded increases in the trend estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles in January 2007 compared with December 2006. The ACT (1.3%) and New South Wales and Queensland (both 1.2%) recorded the largest increases. Tasmania decreased 0.7% over this time.
Seasonally adjusted
The January 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (86 465), increased 5.3% compared with the December 2006 estimate.
All states recorded increases in monthly seasonally adjusted estimates, with South Australia recording the largest increase (10.5%), followed by Tasmania and Victoria (9.3% and 7.4% respectively). Western Australia recorded the lowest increase of 1.1%.
Over this period all vehicle types recorded increases. The other vehicles category recorded the largest increase (6.5%) followed by passenger vehicles (5.6%) and sports utility vehicles (3.0%).
New motor vehicles sales January 2007
| NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. |
Vehicle sales
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | 26 625 | 21 834 | 18 995 | 5 356 | 9 975 | 1 535 | 835 | 1 310 | 86 465 |
Trend | 25 801 | 20 835 | 18 663 | 5 057 | 9 874 | 1 542 | 813 | 1 281 | 83 866 |
Percentage change from previous month
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | 6.0 | 7.4 | 2.8 | 10.5 | 1.1 | 9.3 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 5.3 |
Trend | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | -0.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Percentage change from previous year
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally adjusted | 5.7 | 4.0 | 6.1 | 1.7 | 13.5 | -2.7 | 4.9 | 5.1 | 5.8 |
Trend | 4.1 | -1.0 | 6.7 | -3.2 | 13.4 | -1.2 | 5.7 | 6.5 | 3.8 |
|
(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.
NOTES
FORTHCOMING ISSUES
ISSUE | RELEASE DATE | |
| | |
February 2007 | 21 March 2007 | |
March 2007 | 20 April 2007 | |
April 2007 | 22 May 2007 | |
May 2007
June 2007
July 2007 | 20 June 2007
20 July 2007
22 August 2007 | |
WHAT IF...? REVISIONS TO TREND ESTIMATES
The "what-if" analysis is presented to give an indicative view of the possible revision of the current trend estimate based on the different scenarios of the future seasonally adjusted estimates. These estimates should not be used as a prediction of future trend estimates. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.
The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the published trend estimates.
1 | The February 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the January 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%. |
2 | The February 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the January 2007 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.4%. |
The percentage change of 3.4% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.4%.
SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES.
Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle
| |
| | Passenger vehicles (No.) | Sports utility vehicles (No.) | Other vehicles (No.) | Total vehicles (No.) | Change passenger vehicles (%) | Change sports utility vehicles (%) | Change other vehicles (%) | Change total vehicles (%) | |
| |
Original | |
| |
2005 | November | 52 751 | 14 252 | 16 535 | 83 538 | 8.9 | 14.0 | 8.9 | 9.7 | |
| December | 47 945 | 15 046 | 16 286 | 79 277 | -9.1 | 5.6 | -1.5 | -5.1 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 43 761 | 13 251 | 12 991 | 70 003 | -8.7 | -11.9 | -20.2 | -11.7 | |
| February | 48 483 | 13 506 | 15 457 | 77 446 | 10.8 | 1.9 | 19.0 | 10.6 | |
| March | 53 188 | 15 896 | 18 072 | 87 156 | 9.7 | 17.7 | 16.9 | 12.5 | |
| April | 42 307 | 11 901 | 14 442 | 68 650 | -20.5 | -25.1 | -20.1 | -21.2 | |
| May | 50 683 | 14 816 | 17 958 | 83 457 | 19.8 | 24.5 | 24.3 | 21.6 | |
| June | 57 026 | 18 079 | 21 343 | 96 448 | 12.5 | 22.0 | 18.8 | 15.6 | |
| July | 48 798 | 13 279 | 15 485 | 77 562 | -14.4 | -26.6 | -27.4 | -19.6 | |
| August | 52 030 | 13 539 | 16 092 | 81 661 | 6.6 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 5.3 | |
| September | 51 388 | 13 208 | 15 397 | 79 993 | -1.2 | -2.4 | -4.3 | -2.0 | |
| October | 50 532 | 13 921 | 15 477 | 79 930 | -1.7 | 5.4 | 0.5 | -0.1 | |
| November | 51 850 | 15 193 | 16 254 | 83 297 | 2.6 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 4.2 | |
| December | 48 348 | 14 258 | 14 457 | 77 063 | -6.8 | -6.2 | -11.1 | -7.5 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 49 189 | 14 303 | 13 444 | 76 936 | 1.7 | 0.3 | -7.0 | -0.2 | |
| |
Seasonally adjusted | |
| |
2005 | November | 50 409 | 14 212 | 16 630 | 81 251 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 2.4 | |
| December | 49 870 | 14 937 | 17 023 | 81 830 | -1.1 | 5.1 | 2.4 | 0.7 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 50 606 | 14 445 | 16 704 | 81 755 | 1.5 | -3.3 | -1.9 | -0.1 | |
| February | 49 791 | 14 077 | 16 604 | 80 472 | -1.6 | -2.5 | -0.6 | -1.6 | |
| March | 48 547 | 13 959 | 16 595 | 79 101 | -2.5 | -0.8 | -0.1 | -1.7 | |
| April | 49 356 | 13 916 | 16 328 | 79 600 | 1.7 | -0.3 | -1.6 | 0.6 | |
| May | 49 517 | 13 954 | 16 300 | 79 771 | 0.3 | 0.3 | -0.2 | 0.2 | |
| June | 48 793 | 14 357 | 15 623 | 78 773 | -1.5 | 2.9 | -4.2 | -1.3 | |
| July | 50 709 | 14 192 | 16 101 | 81 002 | 3.9 | -1.1 | 3.1 | 2.8 | |
| August | 50 291 | 13 072 | 15 903 | 79 266 | -0.8 | -7.9 | -1.2 | -2.1 | |
| September | 51 048 | 14 560 | 15 978 | 81 586 | 1.5 | 11.4 | 0.5 | 2.9 | |
| October | 50 341 | 15 034 | 16 239 | 81 614 | -1.4 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.0 | |
| November | 50 195 | 14 849 | 15 936 | 80 980 | -0.3 | -1.2 | -1.9 | -0.8 | |
| December | 51 496 | 14 825 | 15 775 | 82 096 | 2.6 | -0.2 | -1.0 | 1.4 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 54 383 | 15 276 | 16 806 | 86 465 | 5.6 | 3.0 | 6.5 | 5.3 | |
| |
Trend | |
| |
2005 | November | 50 228 | 14 592 | 16 748 | 81 568 | -0.4 | -0.8 | -0.2 | -0.5 | |
| December | 50 024 | 14 432 | 16 720 | 81 176 | -0.4 | -1.1 | -0.2 | -0.5 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 49 799 | 14 280 | 16 689 | 80 768 | -0.4 | -1.1 | -0.2 | -0.5 | |
| February | 49 564 | 14 188 | 16 625 | 80 377 | -0.5 | -0.6 | -0.4 | -0.5 | |
| March | 49 366 | 14 118 | 16 509 | 79 993 | -0.4 | -0.5 | -0.7 | -0.5 | |
| April | 49 275 | 14 027 | 16 332 | 79 634 | -0.2 | -0.6 | -1.1 | -0.4 | |
| May | 49 365 | 13 939 | 16 152 | 79 456 | 0.2 | -0.6 | -1.1 | -0.2 | |
| June | 49 632 | 13 932 | 16 032 | 79 596 | 0.5 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 0.2 | |
| July | 49 904 | 14 004 | 15 961 | 79 869 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -0.4 | 0.3 | |
| August | 50 176 | 14 140 | 15 938 | 80 254 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -0.1 | 0.5 | |
| September | 50 456 | 14 337 | 15 966 | 80 759 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | |
| October | 50 828 | 14 572 | 16 027 | 81 427 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.8 | |
| November | 51 307 | 14 808 | 16 102 | 82 217 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.0 | |
| December | 51 879 | 15 016 | 16 195 | 83 090 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.1 | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 52 394 | 15 203 | 16 269 | 83 866 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 | |
| |
| |
| | | | | | | | | | |
| | | | | | | | | | |
Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration
| |
| | NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. | |
| | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | |
| |
Original | |
| |
2005 | November | 25 716 | 22 428 | 17 181 | 5 500 | 9 107 | 1 667 | 690 | 1 249 | 83 538 | |
| December | 23 054 | 22 110 | 16 208 | 5 335 | 8 664 | 2 080 | 690 | 1 136 | 79 277 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 21 995 | 17 876 | 15 107 | 4 380 | 7 604 | 1 295 | 616 | 1 130 | 70 003 | |
| February | 24 495 | 19 979 | 16 452 | 5 085 | 8 165 | 1 373 | 731 | 1 166 | 77 446 | |
| March | 27 165 | 21 461 | 19 833 | 5 195 | 9 750 | 1 540 | 913 | 1 299 | 87 156 | |
| April | 21 171 | 17 636 | 14 820 | 4 619 | 7 507 | 1 129 | 764 | 1 004 | 68 650 | |
| May | 25 124 | 20 776 | 18 774 | 5 601 | 9 472 | 1 623 | 863 | 1 224 | 83 457 | |
| June | 28 560 | 23 015 | 23 091 | 6 164 | 11 170 | 1 936 | 1 058 | 1 454 | 96 448 | |
| July | 23 688 | 19 322 | 17 910 | 4 794 | 8 720 | 1 334 | 679 | 1 115 | 77 562 | |
| August | 24 223 | 21 043 | 18 124 | 5 107 | 9 736 | 1 436 | 768 | 1 224 | 81 661 | |
| September | 24 267 | 20 449 | 17 061 | 4 903 | 9 716 | 1 688 | 682 | 1 227 | 79 993 | |
| October
November | 24 379
25 418 | 20 785
20 739 | 16 625
18 076 | 4 781
5 116 | 9 591
9 972 | 1 797
1 973 | 762
733 | 1 210
1 270 | 79 930
83 297 | |
| December | 22 927 | 19 790 | 16 551 | 4 700 | 9 471 | 1 748 | 688 | 1 188 | 77 063 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 24 429 | 19 000 | 16 769 | 4 620 | 8 929 | 1 285 | 651 | 1 253 | 76 936 | |
| |
Seasonally adjusted | |
| |
2005 | November | 24 773 | 21 470 | 17 400 | 5 324 | 8 894 | 1 469 | 721 | 1 200 | 81 251 | |
| December | 24 906 | 21 897 | 17 478 | 5 292 | 8 723 | 1 585 | 769 | 1 180 | 81 830 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 25 179 | 20 990 | 17 910 | 5 268 | 8 788 | 1 577 | 796 | 1 247 | 81 755 | |
| February | 24 982 | 20 862 | 17 241 | 5 229 | 8 537 | 1 621 | 791 | 1 209 | 80 472 | |
| March | 24 458 | 19 909 | 17 590 | 4 850 | 8 724 | 1 592 | 773 | 1 205 | 79 101 | |
| April | 24 095 | 20 454 | 17 391 | 5 334 | 8 879 | 1 500 | 750 | 1 197 | 79 600 | |
| May | 23 908 | 20 141 | 17 779 | 5 235 | 9 234 | 1 591 | 739 | 1 144 | 79 771 | |
| June | 24 028 | 19 442 | 17 498 | 5 032 | 9 070 | 1 707 | 761 | 1 235 | 78 773 | |
| July | 24 224 | 20 456 | 18 253 | 5 126 | 9 505 | 1 525 | 745 | 1 168 | 81 002 | |
| August | 23 934 | 20 227 | 17 276 | 4 916 | 9 500 | 1 418 | 797 | 1 198 | 79 266 | |
| September | 24 821 | 20 804 | 17 546 | 5 054 | 9 668 | 1 682 | 766 | 1 245 | 81 586 | |
| October | 25 091 | 20 435 | 17 845 | 4 907 | 9 636 | 1 654 | 835 | 1 211 | 81 614 | |
| November | 24 720 | 19 752 | 18 324 | 4 914 | 9 603 | 1 652 | 760 | 1 255 | 80 980 | |
| December | 25 122 | 20 328 | 18 480 | 4 845 | 9 871 | 1 405 | 797 | 1 248 | 82 096 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 26 625 | 21 834 | 18 995 | 5 356 | 9 975 | 1 535 | 835 | 1 310 | 86 465 | |
| |
Trend | |
| |
2005 | November | 24 934 | 21 366 | 17 656 | 5 274 | 8 749 | 1 596 | 769 | 1 224 | 81 568 | |
| December | 24 858 | 21 248 | 17 544 | 5 255 | 8 725 | 1 570 | 766 | 1 210 | 81 176 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2006 | January | 24 782 | 21 041 | 17 483 | 5 224 | 8 705 | 1 561 | 769 | 1 203 | 80 768 | |
| February | 24 684 | 20 757 | 17 480 | 5 193 | 8 721 | 1 570 | 770 | 1 202 | 80 377 | |
| March | 24 514 | 20 443 | 17 529 | 5 169 | 8 788 | 1 582 | 768 | 1 200 | 79 993 | |
| April | 24 279 | 20 173 | 17 585 | 5 150 | 8 905 | 1 585 | 762 | 1 195 | 79 634 | |
| May | 24 080 | 20 048 | 17 613 | 5 131 | 9 063 | 1 577 | 755 | 1 189 | 79 456 | |
| June | 24 031 | 20 077 | 17 627 | 5 108 | 9 235 | 1 574 | 756 | 1 188 | 79 596 | |
| July | 24 099 | 20 148 | 17 638 | 5 063 | 9 385 | 1 580 | 762 | 1 194 | 79 869 | |
| August | 24 282 | 20 220 | 17 681 | 5 008 | 9 499 | 1 587 | 773 | 1 204 | 80 254 | |
| September | 24 539 | 20 297 | 17 783 | 4 965 | 9 586 | 1 588 | 784 | 1 217 | 80 759 | |
| October | 24 837 | 20 397 | 17 962 | 4 957 | 9 666 | 1 582 | 792 | 1 234 | 81 427 | |
| November | 25 159 | 20 524 | 18 195 | 4 977 | 9 745 | 1 570 | 799 | 1 248 | 82 217 | |
| December | 25 490 | 20 692 | 18 447 | 5 014 | 9 823 | 1 553 | 807 | 1 264 | 83 090 | |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
2007 | January | 25 801 | 20 835 | 18 663 | 5 057 | 9 874 | 1 542 | 813 | 1 281 | 83 866 | |
| |
(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes. | |